Mount St Marys
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 79.2615Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Towson Colonial ( 3- 5, 83.5) 11-14 214 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 1- 6, 72.6) 19-13 221 A Lafayette Patriot ( 4- 4, 78.6) 12-17 225 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 7- 2, 79.4) 11- 8 301 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 7- 4, 81.2) 6- 9 304 H Radford Big South ( 1- 6, 68.7) 15- 6 311 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5- 4, 80.0) 20-12 314 A Delaware Atlantic Sun ( 3- 4, 87.1) 5-17 321 A Merrimack Metro Atlanti ( 3- 5, 74.3) 325 H Marist Metro Atlanti ( 1- 7, 78.0) 328 H Rider Metro Atlanti ( 1- 8, 72.2) 401 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 5- 3, 81.4) 404 H Iona Metro Atlanti ( 3- 4, 73.2) 408 A Fairfield Metro Atlanti ( 5- 3, 84.4) 411 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 6- 2, 80.6) 418 A Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 1- 7, 77.1)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Towson 11-14 -3 -3 -0.08
214 A Duquesne 19-13 6 5 0.69
221 A Lafayette 12-17 -5 -1 -- -4.35
225 H George Washington 11- 8 3 1 1.80
301 A Cincinnati 6- 9 -3 -3 0.23
304 H Radford 15- 6 9 12 - -2.90
311 H Lehigh 20-12 8 1 +++ 7.41
314 A Delaware 5-17 -12 -9 - -2.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Lafayette 12-17 -5 -1 -- -4.35 304 H Radford 15- 6 9 12 - -2.90 314 A Delaware 5-17 -12 -9 - -2.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Lehigh 20-12 8 1 +++ 7.41 |
Mount St Marys Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mount St Marys | |
| Albany | Albany | Albany | ||
| American | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Binghamton | Binghamton | Binghamton | ||
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boston University | |
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Bryant | Bryant | ||
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Butler | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Campbell | |
| Canisius | Canisius | Canisius | ||
| Central Connecticut | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Central Michigan | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colorado | |
| Columbia | Columbia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Columbia | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Davidson | Davidson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Davidson | |
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Delaware State | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Denver | Denver | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Detroit Mercy | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Drexel | Drexel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Elon | Elon | Elon | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | Fairfield | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Furman | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Gardner Webb | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| George Mason | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount St Marys | |
| George Washington | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Hofstra | Hofstra | Hofstra | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Holy Cross | |
| Howard (DC) | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Iona | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jacksonville | |
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Kent State | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| La Salle | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Le Moyne | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Lehigh | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Liberty | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Lindenwood | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| LIU | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Longwood | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loyola (MD) | |
| Manhattan | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Marist | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Marquette | Marquette | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marquette | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | ||
| Mercer | Mercer | Mercer | ||
| Mercyhurst | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Merrimack | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monmouth (NJ) | |
| Navy | Navy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| New Hampshire | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| New Haven | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Niagara | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio State | |
| Old Dominion | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Quinnipiac | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Radford | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Rhode Island | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rider | Mount St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Robert Morris | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rutgers | |
| Sacred Heart | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| San Diego State | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Siena | Siena | Siena | ||
| South Florida | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Southern California | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | ||
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | St Josephs (PA) | |
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Stonehill | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | Temple | Temple 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | UC Davis | ||
| UMBC | UMBC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | UMBC | |
| UNC-Charlotte | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount St Marys | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| VCU | VCU | VCU | ||
| Vermont | Vermont | Vermont | ||
| Villanova | Villanova | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Villanova | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| William & Mary | William & Mary | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | William & Mary | |
| Winthrop | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | ||
| Wofford | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Xavier | Mount St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount St Marys | |
| Yale | Yale | Yale | ||
| Youngstown State | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys |
PowerWise = 52
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.26
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Towson ( 3- 5, 83.5) 11-14 -16.39 23.39 -1.33 1.03 -9.14
0 A Duquesne ( 1- 6, 72.6) 19-13 -27.28 12.50 1.33 1.03 28.56
0 A Lafayette ( 4- 4, 78.6) 12-17 -21.32 18.46 1.33 1.03 -10.32
0 H George Washing ( 7- 2, 79.4) 11- 8 -20.51 19.28 -1.33 1.03 37.03
0 A Cincinnati ( 7- 4, 81.2) 6- 9 -18.74 21.05 1.33 1.03 -8.98
0 H Radford ( 1- 6, 68.7) 15- 6 -31.21 8.58 -1.33 1.03 14.96
0 H Lehigh ( 5- 4, 80.0) 20-12 -19.89 19.89 -1.33 1.03 38.30
0 A Delaware ( 3- 4, 87.1) 5-17 -12.77 27.01 1.33 1.03 -5.90
------
84.51
|
winning pts = 118.8520 losing points = -34.3428
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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